Sample Page

Minto Town Centre

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            [description] => HillPDA has prepared economic appraisals for a large number of public and privately funded projects including affordable housing, urban renewal initiatives, highway upgrades and major multi-use residential, retail and tourism projects. The appraisal includes the identification of benefits and costs and their quantification and cash flow modelling to derive an overall cost / benefit for a nominated standing. Our bespoke CBA models have been widely recognized by State and local governments in the evaluation of project options and development proposals.

Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA)

A CBA includes the identification of benefits and costs and their monetarisation in a discounted cash flow model to derive an overall net present value and benefit/cost ratio. Our bespoke CBA models have been widely recognised by State and local governments in the evaluation of project options and development proposals.

Cost Effective Analysis (CEA)

A CEA is similar to CBA except that it is used to evaluate options that achieve the same project objectives by quantifying only the costs in present value terms rather than both the costs and benefits.

Net Community Benefit Test (NCBT)

A NCBT test is similar to a CBA except that only impacts on third parties (externalities) are quantified and impacts on producers and consumers are excluded.development proposals.

Triple bottom line (TBL)

A TBL is a slightly different evaluation method where social and environmental costs are not monetarised [parent] => 427 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) [3] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 439 [name] => Economic Forecasts & Modelling [slug] => economic-forecasts-modelling [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 439 [taxonomy] => category [description] => HillPDA has developed several in-house bespoke models to inform our clients decision making and position themselves to take advantage of a changing economic climate. These models use up to date government and other industry-standard sources to make sense of and project data trends across all segments of the industry,forecasting not only socio-demographic trends but land use patterns and floorspace needs.

Forecasting models

HillPDA has several accurate and detailed forecast models. These models are updated and informed on the latest available information, community consultation, our extensive database, specialist market research and advanced spatial models. Models and data is one thing. Our value add is in interpenetrating the data, making sense of any trends and conveying this to our clients to inform their decisions better and provide sound economic advice.

Sectors that can be forecaster include:

  • Economic
  • Employment
  • Housing
  • Population
  • Student
  • Tourism and visitor.

Social infrastructure needs

HillPDA’s social infrastructure bespoke model uses a range of government and industry standard benchmarks to accurately forecast the amount and type of infrastructure required to support the local community. Types of infrastructure projected include aged care, community space, child care, education facilities, health facilities, open space, library space and recreation facilities.

Land use modelling

HillPDA’s bespoke land use models forecast specific floorspace and land requirements for a range of industry sectors. These models are used to inform a wide range of studies and strategies. In tandem with detailed land use audits, these forecasts provide a clear understanding as to the need for additional floorspace/ land to either maintain supply in line with demand or avoid oversupplying a location.

Industry sectors that can be modelled include:

  • Boat and marina storage
  • Commercial
  • Industrial / urban service
  • Residential
  • Retail
  • Student accommodation
  • Tourism and visitor accommodation.
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HillPDA’s strength in this field comes from its economic and commercial know-how which allows our team to engage with and understand the community, government, developer, business and landowner interests to achieve realistic and practical outcomes.

Economic analysis

Targeted economic analysis can guide future development options and enhance business confidence. HillPDA can aid stakeholders to better understand the contribution industries provide to a local economy; identifying gaps in provision or support requirements. Economic appraisals are often combined with targeted engagement to identify demand for services, understand challenges or land use conflicts and gain future insights. Where appropriate, development options are specified and appraised for their economic contribution.

Hotel and tourism studies

Unlike commercial and residential markets appraisal of the tourism market and its wide umbrella of sub-markets can be quite vexed. An understanding of the experiences that tourists are getting is important but so are the experiences that they’re not getting. Latent demand is often harder to measure due to a lack of empirical data but it is imperative in feasibility testing and impact assessment. Extensive stakeholder consultation combined with econometric forecasting are techniques to overcome these challenges.

Economic impact assessment

Increasingly the development assessment process requires an understanding of a project’s potential economic impacts. Economic impact assessments always consider and evaluate two options, these being, a base case or business as usual and the proposal case.

HillPDA are experts in assessing net employment creation, construction multipliers, input-output modelling, economic impacts on businesses, impacts on changes to service delivery and changes in property values. Importantly HillPDA not only calculates potential impacts but proactively identifies mitigation strategies to minimise, and where possible avoid, negative impacts arising from any change. [parent] => 427 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) [5] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 459 [name] => Impact Assessment [slug] => impact-assessment [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 459 [taxonomy] => category [description] => HillPDA is uniquely placed to assess the impact of development proposals on the social, economic and business environment. Our expertise in stakeholder engagement, planning, and economics allows us to combine skills and knowledge across subject areas to prepare impact assessment reports that are top tier. We work with our clients to develop mitigation measures that minimise or avoid negative impacts and maximise the potential benefit of the development proposal. HillPDA’s strength in this field comes from its economic and commercial know how which allows the Team to engage with and understand community, business and landowner interests so as to achieve realistic and practical outcomes. [parent] => 0 [count] => 6 [filter] => raw ) [6] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 440 [name] => Retail Economics [slug] => retail-economics [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 440 [taxonomy] => category [description] => HillPDA provides a range of services in the field of retail economics including retail demand forecasting, retail trends analysis, competition and spatial trade area analysis, market delineation and retail impact assessment. To deliver these services HillPDA has developed a range of bespoke models including forecast expenditure models and gravity impact models. These methods have been tried and tested in the NSW Land and Environment Court and recognized by Government policy.

Retail impact assessments

The main reason for the preparation of a retail impact assessment is to provide relevant information to assist in the determination of an application for planning permission for major retail development.

Retail impact assessment is also the means of assessing the potential impacts of a new proposed retail development on the vitality and viability of existing centres or retailers within a defined catchment area of the proposed development.

Centre performance and competitive environment analysis

Successful centres are underpinned by the viabillity of businesses and the competitiveness of the retail environment. We undertake strategic reviews of the performance of centres and determine the economic factors and interventions to support revitalisation. This analysis considers the performance of centres against the broader economic environment and trade catchment.

HillPDA has extensive experience in determining trade catchments for a range of retail services with their boundaries and surrounding competitors being provided in high-quality visual maps. A trade area is a geographic area from which a retail service generates the majority of its trade. The extent of a trade area depends on the type of service being provided, surrounding competitors and the existence of natural and artificial barriers.

Retail expenditure and gravity modelling

In order to quantify the redirection of trade from competing centres, HillPDA developed a bespoke gravity impact model.

The gravity model was designed on the premise that the level of redirected expenditure from a competing centre is directly proportional to the turnover of that centre and indirectly proportional to the distance from a new centre. The results measure the impact that a new centre or particular use would have upon surrounding retailers and retail network.

Retail demand modelling

HillPDA’s bespoke retail demand model uses historical and present data to estimate residential, retail expenditure and subsequent demand for retail floorspace by specific categories within a defined locality.

The outcomes inform the development and recommendations in numerous assessments, studies, policies and strategies undertaken by HillPDA. [parent] => 427 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) [7] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 427 [name] => Urban and Retail Economics [slug] => urban-and-retail-economics [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 427 [taxonomy] => category [description] => Boasting a reputation as trusted, respected and independent economic advisors, our experts understand the motivations and risks of the public and private sector.

Our economic team offer a large range of urban and retail economic services which is supported by considerable experience, industry accepted in-house economic modelling tools and capabilities. Our comprehensive economic analysis and forecasts have helped our clients across the public and private sectors make better policy, strategy and property decisions.

Our integrity and commercial thinking are embodied in economic analysis. We act as an honest broker to protect the public interest and balance on an evidence basis the demands and needs of development industry.

Download a capability Statement 

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Canley Vale, Retail Development

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Cost Benefit Analysis (CBA)

A CBA includes the identification of benefits and costs and their monetarisation in a discounted cash flow model to derive an overall net present value and benefit/cost ratio. Our bespoke CBA models have been widely recognised by State and local governments in the evaluation of project options and development proposals.

Cost Effective Analysis (CEA)

A CEA is similar to CBA except that it is used to evaluate options that achieve the same project objectives by quantifying only the costs in present value terms rather than both the costs and benefits.

Net Community Benefit Test (NCBT)

A NCBT test is similar to a CBA except that only impacts on third parties (externalities) are quantified and impacts on producers and consumers are excluded.development proposals.

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Forecasting models

HillPDA has several accurate and detailed forecast models. These models are updated and informed on the latest available information, community consultation, our extensive database, specialist market research and advanced spatial models. Models and data is one thing. Our value add is in interpenetrating the data, making sense of any trends and conveying this to our clients to inform their decisions better and provide sound economic advice.

Sectors that can be forecaster include:

  • Economic
  • Employment
  • Housing
  • Population
  • Student
  • Tourism and visitor.

Social infrastructure needs

HillPDA’s social infrastructure bespoke model uses a range of government and industry standard benchmarks to accurately forecast the amount and type of infrastructure required to support the local community. Types of infrastructure projected include aged care, community space, child care, education facilities, health facilities, open space, library space and recreation facilities.

Land use modelling

HillPDA’s bespoke land use models forecast specific floorspace and land requirements for a range of industry sectors. These models are used to inform a wide range of studies and strategies. In tandem with detailed land use audits, these forecasts provide a clear understanding as to the need for additional floorspace/ land to either maintain supply in line with demand or avoid oversupplying a location.

Industry sectors that can be modelled include:

  • Boat and marina storage
  • Commercial
  • Industrial / urban service
  • Residential
  • Retail
  • Student accommodation
  • Tourism and visitor accommodation.
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HillPDA’s strength in this field comes from its economic and commercial know-how which allows our team to engage with and understand the community, government, developer, business and landowner interests to achieve realistic and practical outcomes.

Economic analysis

Targeted economic analysis can guide future development options and enhance business confidence. HillPDA can aid stakeholders to better understand the contribution industries provide to a local economy; identifying gaps in provision or support requirements. Economic appraisals are often combined with targeted engagement to identify demand for services, understand challenges or land use conflicts and gain future insights. Where appropriate, development options are specified and appraised for their economic contribution.

Hotel and tourism studies

Unlike commercial and residential markets appraisal of the tourism market and its wide umbrella of sub-markets can be quite vexed. An understanding of the experiences that tourists are getting is important but so are the experiences that they’re not getting. Latent demand is often harder to measure due to a lack of empirical data but it is imperative in feasibility testing and impact assessment. Extensive stakeholder consultation combined with econometric forecasting are techniques to overcome these challenges.

Economic impact assessment

Increasingly the development assessment process requires an understanding of a project’s potential economic impacts. Economic impact assessments always consider and evaluate two options, these being, a base case or business as usual and the proposal case.

HillPDA are experts in assessing net employment creation, construction multipliers, input-output modelling, economic impacts on businesses, impacts on changes to service delivery and changes in property values. Importantly HillPDA not only calculates potential impacts but proactively identifies mitigation strategies to minimise, and where possible avoid, negative impacts arising from any change. [parent] => 427 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) [5] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 553 [name] => Retail demand modelling [slug] => retail-demand-modelling [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 553 [taxonomy] => post_tag [description] => [parent] => 0 [count] => 1 [filter] => raw ) [6] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 440 [name] => Retail Economics [slug] => retail-economics [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 440 [taxonomy] => category [description] => HillPDA provides a range of services in the field of retail economics including retail demand forecasting, retail trends analysis, competition and spatial trade area analysis, market delineation and retail impact assessment. To deliver these services HillPDA has developed a range of bespoke models including forecast expenditure models and gravity impact models. These methods have been tried and tested in the NSW Land and Environment Court and recognized by Government policy.

Retail impact assessments

The main reason for the preparation of a retail impact assessment is to provide relevant information to assist in the determination of an application for planning permission for major retail development.

Retail impact assessment is also the means of assessing the potential impacts of a new proposed retail development on the vitality and viability of existing centres or retailers within a defined catchment area of the proposed development.

Centre performance and competitive environment analysis

Successful centres are underpinned by the viabillity of businesses and the competitiveness of the retail environment. We undertake strategic reviews of the performance of centres and determine the economic factors and interventions to support revitalisation. This analysis considers the performance of centres against the broader economic environment and trade catchment.

HillPDA has extensive experience in determining trade catchments for a range of retail services with their boundaries and surrounding competitors being provided in high-quality visual maps. A trade area is a geographic area from which a retail service generates the majority of its trade. The extent of a trade area depends on the type of service being provided, surrounding competitors and the existence of natural and artificial barriers.

Retail expenditure and gravity modelling

In order to quantify the redirection of trade from competing centres, HillPDA developed a bespoke gravity impact model.

The gravity model was designed on the premise that the level of redirected expenditure from a competing centre is directly proportional to the turnover of that centre and indirectly proportional to the distance from a new centre. The results measure the impact that a new centre or particular use would have upon surrounding retailers and retail network.

Retail demand modelling

HillPDA’s bespoke retail demand model uses historical and present data to estimate residential, retail expenditure and subsequent demand for retail floorspace by specific categories within a defined locality.

The outcomes inform the development and recommendations in numerous assessments, studies, policies and strategies undertaken by HillPDA. [parent] => 427 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) [7] => WP_Term Object ( [term_id] => 427 [name] => Urban and Retail Economics [slug] => urban-and-retail-economics [term_group] => 0 [term_taxonomy_id] => 427 [taxonomy] => category [description] => Boasting a reputation as trusted, respected and independent economic advisors, our experts understand the motivations and risks of the public and private sector.

Our economic team offer a large range of urban and retail economic services which is supported by considerable experience, industry accepted in-house economic modelling tools and capabilities. Our comprehensive economic analysis and forecasts have helped our clients across the public and private sectors make better policy, strategy and property decisions.

Our integrity and commercial thinking are embodied in economic analysis. We act as an honest broker to protect the public interest and balance on an evidence basis the demands and needs of development industry.

Download a capability Statement 

[hpost post_ids="4315,4200,4318" read_more_text="view more"] [parent] => 426 [count] => 2 [filter] => raw ) )

Murdi Paaki

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Our strategies and assessments draw upon a robust evidence base of engagement, demographic and needs analysis, ensuring your project deliverables are practical and realistic.
Land Use Planning and Policy Planning Pathways and Process Social Planning
  • Affordable housing strategy and policy
  • Centre strategies
  • Employment land strategies
  • Growth management strategy
  • Housing studies
  • Land use audits
  • Night time and visitor economy strategies
  • Infrastructure contribution planning
  • Planning due diligence
  • Planning instrument review
  • Planning proposals
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  • Submission responses
  • CPTED reports
  • Engagement
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  • Social and socio-economic impact assessments
  • Social infrastructure strategy

Case Studies

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Executives

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We can assess the actual performance of your portfolio or asset against industry benchmarks, which includes reviewing rents or target hurdle rates. We can also identify underperforming assets and run hypothetical feasibility testing to develop a better financial outcome for the portfolio or specific asset. [parent] => 430 [count] => 1 [filter] => raw ) )

Murray River

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            [description] => It’s imperative for both the private sector and government authorities to have a good appreciation of market trends in any local government area or region and the future demands for retail and commercial space and employment lands as part of strategic planning.  From that is the development of strategies to accommodate growth or potential growth to ensure the delivery of jobs and economic development.  HillPDA has worked with Councils, planning authorities and even the private sector in developing the necessary forecasting models and policies or strategies in these fields.
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In planning for growing and changing communities it is important to understand the needs and issues resulting from population growth and changing demography. We compile evidence and project population growth arising from planned urban development to assess the resulting need for additional social infrastructure. Through our knowledges of the planning system and infrastructure funding methods we are able to develop practical solutions that balance community benefits with ongoing asset management responsibilities.
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            [description] => HillPDA has worked with Councils, planning authorities and the private sector in developing the necessary forecasting models and policies or strategies in these fields. It’s imperative for both the private sector and government to have an appreciation of market trends in any local government area as this will impact on the future demands for retail and commercial space and employment lands. The development of strategies to accommodate growth can encourage the delivery of jobs and economic development.
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Our strategies and assessments draw upon a robust evidence base of engagement, demographic and needs analysis, ensuring your project deliverables are practical and realistic.
Land Use Planning and Policy Planning Pathways and Process Social Planning
  • Affordable housing strategy and policy
  • Centre strategies
  • Employment land strategies
  • Growth management strategy
  • Housing studies
  • Land use audits
  • Night time and visitor economy strategies
  • Infrastructure contribution planning
  • Planning due diligence
  • Planning instrument review
  • Planning proposals
  • Portfolio reviews
  • Submission responses
  • CPTED reports
  • Engagement
  • Infrastructure and community needs
  • Social and socio-economic impact assessments
  • Social infrastructure strategy

Case Studies

[hpost post_ids="4398,4541,4538" read_more_text="view more"]

Executives

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Shellharbour

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    [1] => WP_Term Object
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            [term_id] => 471
            [name] => Commercial Centres and Employment Lands Strategies
            [slug] => commercial-centres-and-employment-lands-strategies
            [term_group] => 0
            [term_taxonomy_id] => 471
            [taxonomy] => category
            [description] => It’s imperative for both the private sector and government authorities to have a good appreciation of market trends in any local government area or region and the future demands for retail and commercial space and employment lands as part of strategic planning.  From that is the development of strategies to accommodate growth or potential growth to ensure the delivery of jobs and economic development.  HillPDA has worked with Councils, planning authorities and even the private sector in developing the necessary forecasting models and policies or strategies in these fields.
            [parent] => 0
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    [2] => WP_Term Object
        (
            [term_id] => 526
            [name] => Housing Supply Pipeline Audit
            [slug] => housing-supply-pipeline-audit
            [term_group] => 0
            [term_taxonomy_id] => 526
            [taxonomy] => post_tag
            [description] => 
            [parent] => 0
            [count] => 1
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    [3] => WP_Term Object
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            [term_id] => 539
            [name] => Planning
            [slug] => planning
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            [term_taxonomy_id] => 539
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            [description] => We help you navigate urban and regional planning frameworks by providing tailored strategic, statutory and social planning advice
that is commercially realistic.

Our strategies and assessments draw upon a robust evidence base of engagement, demographic and needs analysis, ensuring your project deliverables are practical and realistic.
Land Use Planning and Policy Planning Pathways and Process Social Planning
  • Affordable housing strategy and policy
  • Centre strategies
  • Employment land strategies
  • Growth management strategy
  • Housing studies
  • Land use audits
  • Night time and visitor economy strategies
  • Infrastructure contribution planning
  • Planning due diligence
  • Planning instrument review
  • Planning proposals
  • Portfolio reviews
  • Submission responses
  • CPTED reports
  • Engagement
  • Infrastructure and community needs
  • Social and socio-economic impact assessments
  • Social infrastructure strategy

Case Studies

[hpost post_ids="4398,4541,4538" read_more_text="view more"]

Executives

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